AAII The American Association of Individual Investors

Post on: 16 Март, 2015 No Comment

by James B. Cloonan

Through March, the 2012 equity market has been a friendlier place than we have seen for a while.

The S&P 500 index was up 12.5%, as measured by the Vanguard S&P 500 Index fund (VFINX). This is somewhat better than our Model Mutual Fund Portfolio at 10.0% and our portfolio of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). the Model ETF Portfolio, at 10.9%. Tables 1 and 2 show the longer-term performance of the Model Mutual Fund Portfolio, and Tables 3 and 4 show the history of the Model ETF Portfolio.

Performance Comparisons

It has been brought to our attention that we have used the term benchmark incorrectly in relation to the Vanguard S&P 500 Index fund, the SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) and the iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF (EFA). These index funds are based on giant capitalization and moderate value equity holdings, and most of the holdings of both model portfolios are not in this subcategory. A benchmark should show the average performance of all portfolios following the same approach as the portfolio being evaluated. Therefore, we will use the term comparisons for these index funds going forward.

VFINX, SPY and EFA are funds based on what most people consider the overall equity market here and abroad to be valid bases for comparison, if not for fund evaluation. Since they are capitalization-weighted, they represent the average performance of all portfolios. In addition, when evaluating a portfolio of funds, should the composite fund get credit or blame for both the selection of equity subcategories as well as the specific funds within each subcategory? The subcategory weightings are not static, and the portfolios ultimate performance is an ever-changing combination of subcategory weightings and specific fund selection.

Portfolio Changes and News

There are no portfolio changes in either of the model portfolios. FMI Common Stock fund (FMIMX) continues to be closed to new investors. If you own it, you should continue to hold it. If you do not own it and are new to the portfolio, you should make any selection from the remaining nine funds.

The rationale for the Model ETF Portfolio is provided here. The rules for the Model Mutual Fund Portfolio can be found in the March 2012 issue of the AAII Journal and in the Model Portfolios area here .

Looking Ahead

Not much has changed since my comments in the March Model Portfolios column. The market climb has slowed somewhat, and the day-to-day news has brought back some of last years volatility.

I continue to be modestly bullish for the balance of the year, but not enough to change normal allocations.


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