Tweezers Provide Precision For Trend Traders
Post on: 16 Март, 2015 No Comment
Steve Nison, the man largely attributed to popularizing candlestick charting in the West, introduces the Tweezers bottoming and topping pattern in his book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques. Tweezers can take on varying appearances, but all have a couple of traits in common. Sometimes appearing at market-turning points, these candlestick patterns can be used for analysis purposes — to simply indicate the possibility of a reversal — or they can be used within a broader context of market analysis to provide trade signals for trend traders.
The Japanese have been using candlesticks to trade commodities since the 17th century, and candlesticks remain popular as they are visually appealing way to monitor price data. The body of a candle is created by the difference between the open and close, while the thin shadows on either end of the candle mark the high and low over that period. A dark or red candle means the close was below the open, while a white or green candle shows the price closed higher than it opened.
Tweezers are both a topping and bottoming pattern – patterns that indicate a shift in trend direction – although a broader context is usually needed to confirm the signal, since tweezers can occur frequently. A topping pattern occurs when the highs of two candlesticks occur at almost exactly the same level following an advance. A bottoming pattern occurs when the lows of two candlesticks occur at almost exactly the same level following a decline.
Additional criteria are that the first candle has a large real body (difference between open and close), but the second candle can be pretty much any size; therefore, the two candles may look quite different. For example, in a tweezers top the first candlestick may be a very strong up candle, closing near the high, while the second candle may be a doji –a cross-shaped, neutral candlestick pattern–that doesn’t close near the high but still has a similar high to the first candle.
The premise behind this being a topping or bottoming pattern is that the first candle shows a strong move in the current direction, while the second candle pauses or even completely reverses the prior days’ price action. A short-term shift in momentum has occurred, which traders should be aware of.
In Figure 1 there are two circles drawn on the chart — one blue and one green. The larger green circle marks a classic tweezers bottom. There was a move lower, a strong down candle and a subsequent candle putting in nearly the exact same low. The small second body indicates less selling interest than the prior candle.
The blue smaller circle is a tweezer topping pattern, although ideally the first upward candle should be slightly larger to show a true shift in momentum from the first candle to the second.
Figure 1. Tweezers Top and Bottom
Source: Stockcharts.com
Interpretation
A tweezers that takes the structure of another reversal candlestick pattern is especially noteworthy. For a topping pattern, the bearish engulfing pattern and dark-cloud cover (explained below) are prime examples. For a bottoming pattern, a bullish engulfing pattern and a piercing pattern are important to watch. While these candlesticks may not always appear as tweezers (similar highs and lows), when they do it adds more importance to the pattern.
Figure 2. Bullish Engulfing Bottoming Tweezers
Source: Stockcharts.com
These specific tweezers patterns show a strong shift in momentum from one day to next, which is quite different than the second day witnessing only a pause in the momentum.
A strong up bar followed by a hanging man or shooting star candle is also a noteworthy reversal pattern, although within the next couple of candles the price should make a close below the second candle’s real body.
An equivalent bottoming pattern would be a strong down candle followed by a hammer. A close above the hammer body, on a third or fourth candle, would establish a strong case that a short-term bottom has formed.
Figure 3. Tweezers with Strong Down Bar Followed by Hammer
Source: Stockcharts.com
While the hammer in figure 3 isn’t ideal (the body could be a bit smaller and close closer to the high), given that it’s also a tweezers we can conclude this a potential turning point. Within two bars after the tweezers the price closes above the hammer indicating the price is likely to continue higher in the short term.
Trading Tweezers
Candlestick patterns can occur frequently in financial markets and tweezers are no exception. Based on overall conditions, their appearance can be benign or trade worthy.
If an overall trend is in place, when tweezers occur during a pullback it signals a potential entry point, as the pattern indicates the pullback is over and the price is likely to move in the trending direction again. By using tweezers in this manner — entering on pullbacks in alignment with the overall trend — the success rate for these pattern improves.
For a bottom pattern, a stop loss can be placed below the tweezers lows. For a topping pattern the stop can be placed above the tweezers highs. Tweezers do not provide a profit target, so the target must be based on other factors, such as the trend and overall momentum
Figure 4. Using Tweezers to Enter on a Pullback in Alignment with Longer-Term Trend
Source: Stockcharts.com
In figure 4 the trend is up, so when bottoming tweezers occur in a pullback it marks a potential entry (green circle). The red horizontal line marks the stop level, placed just below the lows of the pattern.
Using overall trend analysis, and potentially even other indicators, will help spot tweezers at points on the chart where it makes sense to trade them. Tweezers that occur near major support or resistance levels also provide trade signals that may appeal to traders, as the pattern indicates that the support/resistance has help and the price is likely to move away from the area.
The Bottom Line
A tweezers top is when two candles occur back to back with very similar highs. A tweezers bottom occurs when two candles, back to back, occur with very similar lows. The pattern is more important when there is a strong shift in momentum between the first candle and the second. For trading purposes, these patterns are best used to indicate the end of a pullback, signaling a trade in the overall direction of the trend. A stop loss can be placed below a tweezers bottom and above a tweezers top. No pattern is perfect though, and a tweezers doesn’t always create a reversal. Use the candles that occur after the pattern to confirm short-term reversal signals. Practice both spotting and trading tweezers before initiating tweezers trades with real capital.