Stock Investment Research
Post on: 3 Август, 2015 No Comment
You hear every day how analysts are raising or lowering their stock ratings. Ever wondered how they come up with those stock ratings and just how accurate they are? Well, I was a stock analyst for close to ten years and can tell you first hand that you can do your own stock investment research and come up with answers that are just as accurate as theirs. I’ll try to break down into simple terms some of the techniques they use. If you are interested in learning more, there are thousands of books devoted entirely to this subject. However, I would recommend keeping things simple and not getting too technical.
There are two steps to choosing the right stocks to invest in. First, do your investment research. This means learning about the fundamentals of the company, including their products, services, business goals, management depth and other intangible assets. Once you’ve done this, it’s time to apply various stock valuation techniques in order determine if the stock is priced attractively and if you should buy it.
In this section, I’ll discuss how to do your own stock research. To learn about stock valuations, visit the stock valuation section. You’ll need to take the results of both techniques into account before making your investment decision.
Let’s get started by looking at the different ways to research stocks. And by research, what we really mean is that we are going to find out as much information about the company as possible and then use that information to deem whether or not the company merits your investment consideration. Use the following methods to formulate an overall opinion about the quality of the company you are considering.
Annual and Quarterly Reports
Each company files quarterly and annual reports with the SEC, which are called 10-Qs and 10-Ks. They include a lot of information about the company and how the company does business, including competition, long term risks, as well as fully explained sales and cost analysis. Read these statements over to learn about the company you are researching. The more of these statements you read from different companies, the more you will learn to take away valuable information about the companies. These forms can be found through any finance website such as yahoo or google.
Press Releases
Press releases are distributed through any finance website or on the companys website. They can be released at any time and often cause stock prices to rise or fall sharply. Go back in time and read the press releases to understand what the company deems important and what the current issues are with the company. Press releases often announce new contracts, mergers and acquisitions, management changes, and of course earnings releases. Watch for new press releases everyday to keep up with the companies you are researching.
Industry Reports
Every industry has an expert or organization that follows it. Many of these industries are private and only offer full information for exorbitant prices. However, most industry analyses offer some of their information for free. Stock analysts also offer industry reports. Sometimes you can buy these through a finance site or brokerage. Also, you can always call or email the organization or analyst and ask them for a copy.
Analyst Days and Other Webcasts
Most companies have analyst or investor days. You probably wont get an invitation but it is worth contacting the company and asking if you can attend. They are often broadcast on the web so you can attend them for free. Also, if a company you are following is presenting at an upcoming conference, ask them if you can attend. They will likely put your name on the guest list so you can get in for free and learn about them and other companies in their industry.
Conference Calls
Companies host conference calls that are streamed via the web. Some are scheduled weeks in advance, like for earnings reports. Some are scheduled just a few minutes in advance, for suprise news. These calls are available to anyone and you should listen to as many as you can. You will learn how management thinks and acts and can better form your investment decision.
Competitive Analysis
Do your own competitive analysis. Compare everything about the company you are researching against other companies that are like it. Is its market share growing? Are its margins as high? Is it growing faster or slower than others. If your company is better than others in its industry, it usually trades at a premium in price to the others. Only buy companies that are on the upswing.
Intangible Assets
Look for intangibles that make your company stand out. For example, Dell and Apple both make computers but Apples brand name is an intangible that stands above the crowd. Other intangibles to take into account are patents, ability to make accretive acquistions, and the quality of the company to attract talent.
Management Depth
You can find the history and background of the core management team in their 10-K filing. You can also do some searches on the Internet that can tell you more about the individual leaders of the company. More importantly, listen to the conference calls and look at their track records to make sure they are good. Good management, especially in bad times, can make all the difference. Look for experience and a history of success.
Company Goals
Find out what the goals of the company are. Are they to grow existing business rapidly, grow by acquisition, help the environment, protect their assets, etc. Make sure they meet your investing goals. Watch for companies that are increasing spending faster than sales. Although they are likely adding to future sales growth, they can go through periods of slow earnings growth in the near term.
Contact the Company
Have any questions about the company you are researching? Call them! Thats right, call their corporate headquarters and ask for investor relations. Or email them. They can probably answer most of your questions.