Market Swings Stressing You Out These ETFs Promise to Be Chill Bloomberg Business

Post on: 29 Май, 2015 No Comment

Market Swings Stressing You Out These ETFs Promise to Be Chill Bloomberg Business

A return to volatility in the stock market has investors jumping into financial products that promise a smoother ride. The steady increase in the size of daily swings in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index since late November has sent $2 billion into exchange-traded funds designed to lessen volatility. That’s a 15 percent rise in assets in the first five weeks of the year. And so far, the ETFs are all beating the markets they track.

These low-volatility ETFs are one of the most successful categories under the so-called smart-beta umbrella. Smart beta is the buzz phrase used to describe ETFs that screen or weight the stocks in their portfolios on such things as dividends, sales, or volatility. That veers from the standard practice of weighting a portfolio by market capitalization. There are 15 of these ETFs, with $16 billion in assets. The product didn’t exist five years ago.

The appeal of the low-vol approach is the promise to take the edge off investing in everything from large caps, midcaps, small caps, emerging markets, and developed markets. These ETFs hold stocks that have smaller price swings than those in the broad market. That means the stocks in their portfolios won’t go up as much as other stocks in a rally, but they also won’t fall as hard as others in a drop.

There are two main kinds of these low-stress ETFs. The fairly simple version is the PowerShares S&P 500 Low Volatility Portfolio (SPLV). The $5.6 billion ETF holds the 100 least volatile stocks in the S&P 500-stock index and gives the highest weightings to the stocks with the least volatility. This leaves the fund with a massive concentration in one or two sectors, typically utilities or industrials. Right now, though, financial stocks have the biggest weighting, at 33 percent. SPLV charges investors 0.25 percent in annual fees.

The more complicated version of this product is the $4.5 billion iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility ETF (USMV). This one is aimed at investors who want a low-volatility version of the broad stock market but want more standard sector weightings. To do this and keep overall volatility low, USMV tries to pick a portfolio of stocks whose movements neutralize each other. Its financial sector allocation is 16 percent, in line with popular indices such as the S&P 500. The ETF charges 0.15 percent in annual fees.

So far, low-volatility ETFs have delivered on their promise to provide a smoother ride in a low-cost, convenient package. 

SPLV and USMV are both less volatile than the markets they track. Without going into wonky volatility statistics, they’re both about 15 percent less volatile than the S&P 500. They’ve also returned about the same as the S&P 500: In the past two years, USMV and SPLV are both up 60 percent, compared with 62 percent for the S&P 500.

Market Swings Stressing You Out These ETFs Promise to Be Chill Bloomberg Business

In short, these ETFs will go up less, and down less, than the market they track. A recent example of how that plays out is from the summer of 2011. Back then, the European debt crisis rattled U.S. stocks, and the S&P 500 lost 11 percent. SPLV lost just 5 percent. The flipside? In 2013, when the stock market was on fire and the S&P 500 returned 33 percent, SPLV had a 23 percent return.

One area where low-volatility ETFs have had sustained success beating the broad market is in emerging markets. Emerging markets have been shaky, to say the least, over the past few years, with investors moving toward safer stocks. Against that backdrop, the iShares Emerging Markets Minimum Volatility ETF (EEMV) is up 15 percent in the past three years; the iShares Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is down 2 percent. If there is a big rally in emerging markets, however, EEM will outperform its low-volatility peer.

That leads to a good rule of thumb on all smart-beta ETFs: Convenience is guaranteed, and outperformance is a bonus. Investors who will be upset if their ETF is up only 15 percent while the market is up 23 percent shouldn’t buy these products. But if an investor is OK with a smaller upside in exchange for a smoother ride and less pain when stocks fall, these products can be good shock absorbers.

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