More Volatility Ahead in 2015 Cinque Partners LLC
Post on: 20 Июнь, 2015 No Comment
The stock market’s sustained rally hasn’t been ideal for volatility-focused investors but, as a recent CNBC.com story suggests. the outlook may be shifting in their favor.
The Chicago Board of Exchange Volatility Index (VIX)—the so-called “investor fear gauge”—has traded far below its historical average of 20 for much of the past five years. Investors still appear confident: after spiking to the mid-20s in October, the VIX has returned to sub-15 levels.
But while most observers expect U.S. equities to head higher, many believe its path will become less predictable. (We wrote last week that the Federal Reserve has forecasted more market instability in the wake of planned short-term interest rate increases in 2015. )
As Mayur Saigal, Janus’s global head of fixed income risk management, said in the CNBC piece, ’The decade-low volatility numbers that we saw across asset classes (in June)—that was probably a good time to buy protection.’
We believe that simply owning the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index ignores the increased risk in today’s markets of long-tail events. Recent history shows that volatility spikes happen quickly and unpredictably, causing potentially serious damage to portfolio principal.
There is a less risky way to participate in equities, in our view. Cinque Partners’ 10-year-plus strategy combines an active S&P 500-based portfolio with buy-write options and protected puts, targeting more upside capture and less downside loss.
For more details on our strategy and performance, including capture ratios and other portfolio characteristics, please contact us .
No statement is to be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. This material contains the opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Cinque Partners LLC and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular account or strategy.
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Index returns are presented for comparative purposes only. The returns are unmanaged and do not reflect the deduction of any fees or expenses. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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The Cinque Partners strategy uses options sales, both covered call writing and collateralized put writing, in an effort to generate income, manage risk, and support the rebalancing of the underlying long equity portfolio. From a portfolio perspective, the Cinque Partners policy target is to be 50% written. A combination of calls and puts is utilized to seek to achieve this policy target based on meeting specific criteria for the alignment of strike and target prices along with requirements for static returns, if exercised returns and probability of exercise.
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