Tactical asset allocation

Post on: 25 Июль, 2015 No Comment

Tactical asset allocation

This is just a quick update to let you know that I’m seeing some trends around the world lose breadth and power while others are revitalizing. Our global Equity Plus strategy, which seeks opportunities in multiple asset classes around the world, has seen a shift from the U.S. being the sweet spot in equities to places like Europe and China gaining momentum.  Europe and China are rallying after policymaking moves and China’s retail sales are expected to be relatively robust in the fourth quarter .

Not surprisingly, the recent U.S. economic data have, in some ways, confirmed the weakening trend in domestic equities. Manufacturing activity and business spending are anemic. Jobs growth has been a little bit better than expected. but not strong enough to excite investors to take equity prices to higher levels.

Meanwhile, the political landscape is uncertain. A tight election race and hazy fiscal-cliff forecasts could be encouraging a lot of investors to take profits and reallocate overseas.

The good news is U.S. consumer confidence has been rallying to levels not seen since February 2008, and consumers historically represent about 70% of the economy. If investors end up celebrating the election results, and the potential fiscal-cliff outcomes become more predictable, U.S. equities could rebound significantly during the Holiday Season. After all, the Federal Reserve is about as accommodative as it can get and we Americans like to relieve stress by shopping.

I also expect that a lot of new jobs will be created to repair Hurricane Sandy’s destruction and communities will come together during the rebuilding process. Our friends out east are remarkably resilient and vital to our nation’s growth and economic well-being.

Overall, the shifting trends of late are still young and vulnerable. We need to see further confirmation, or maturity, in these trends before Equity Plus significantly changes its positions. In other words, it’s too early to call this a sea change out of the U.S.

Dynamic. ranked #2 by Morningstar, is a domestic-equity strategy that stays fully invested in the 8-12 most attractive domestic equity ETFs, based largely on intermediate-term trends. The strategy chooses its positions from a diverse universe of more than 200 domestic equity ETFs. Dynamic can invest in broad-market indexes, equal-weight indexes, enhanced indexes, sectors and more. As a result, it can be used as the central or core piece of an investor’s overall portfolio, depending on the individual’s risk tolerance and suitability.*

For investors who are particularly risk averse, we offer the same Dynamic strategy in a version that does not stay fully invested at all times. It’s called the Risk Managed strategy. Risk Managed chooses from the same securities that Dynamic does, but it goes to cash when the overall market risk is excessive. Call a Niemann advisor today to discuss whether Dynamic or Risk Managed is suitable for you.

Dynamic Sector. ranked #3 by Morningstar, is a global equity strategy that stays fully invested in the 5-10 most attractive sectors around the world. The strategy can invest in a wide variety of sectors, much more than the 10 sectors commonly referred to in the S&P 500. The strategy is intended to be a diversifier or satellite piece of an investor’s overall portfolio.

For risk-averse investors, we offer the same strategy in a version that does not stay fully invested at all times. It’s called the Risk Managed Sector strategy. Risk Managed Sector can go to cash when overall market risk is excessive. Call a Niemann advisor today to discuss which Niemann sector strategy could be suitable for you.

Tactical asset allocation

Call 800.622.1626

*Disclosure: Dynamic and Dynamic Sector are both high-risk strategies. Interested investors should discuss suitability measures with an advisor before investing any money. This is not a recommendation or solicitation to purchase any securities. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE SIMILAR RESULTS IN THE FUTURE.

Niemann Capital Management is pleased to announce that our Dynamic Sector strategy recently received a #2 ranking by Morningstar. The strategy typically allocates towards the top 5-10 trending sectors around the world. Full article

“[Dynamic Sector] will make some big bets, but our approach is a little different in the sense that it invests in sectors that are trending higher rather than trying to predict future market leaders,” said portfolio manager, Alan Alpers .

Disclosure: Dynamic Sector is a high-risk strategy emphasizing investment return over capital preservation by keeping portfolio assets actively invested in sector funds at all times. Interested investors should discuss suitability measures with an advisor before investing any money. This is not a recommendation or solicitation to purchase any securities. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE SIMILAR RESULTS IN THE FUTURE.


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