PPT Bond Portfolio Management Strategies Basics II PowerPoint presentation
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Bond Portfolio Management Strategies: Basics II
What are theoretical spot rates and forward rates and how do we compute them. However, price changes are not linear, but a curvilinear (convex) function. 15. PowerPoint PPT presentation
Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
- What is the convexity for a bond, how do you
estimating a bonds price volatility?
Theoretical spot rates
- We have seen that using STRIPS we can determine
the spot rate for a particular maturity.
slightly different from those observed in STRIPS
because the stripped securities are not as liquid
as the current Treasury issues.
Theoretical spot rates
- We can compute a set of theoretical spot rates
through a process referred to as boot-strapping.
of a package of zero coupon securities that
duplicates the coupon bonds cash flows.
Forward rates
- Forward rates represent the markets expectation
of future short-term rates.
six months from now would be a forward rate.
T-bills, we can extrapolate this forward rate.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
- Interest rate sensitivity is the amount of bond
price change for a given change in yield.
Trading strategies based on interest rate
sensitivity
- If you expect a decline (increase) in interest
rates, you want a portfolio of bonds with maximum
(minimum) interest rate sensitivity.
interest rate sensitivity based on coupon and
maturity.
Macaulay Duration Measure
- The Macaulay Duration can be calculated as
- Where
- t time period in which the coupon or principal
payment occurs
Characteristics of Macaulay Duration
than its term to maturity because duration gives
weight to these interim payments
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and coupon
maturity and duration, but duration increases at
a decreasing rate with maturity
duration
Determining interest rate sensitivity
- An adjustment of Macaulay duration called
modified duration can be used to approximate the
bond price change to changes in yield.
Trading Strategies Using Modified Duration
- Longest-duration security provides the maximum
Bond Convexity
- Modified duration is a linear approximation of
bond price change for small changes in market
yields
curvilinear (convex) function.
Determinants of Convexity
- The convexity is the measure of the curvature and
can be calculated as
The change in price due to convexity is then
Determinants of Convexity
- There exists a(n)
- Inverse relationship between coupon and convexity
- Direct relationship between maturity and
convexity
Modified Duration-Convexity Effects
- Changes in a bonds price resulting from a change
in yield are due to
the characteristics of the bond (its convexity)
and the size of the yield change
Limitations of Macaulay and Modified Duration
- Percentage change estimates using modified
duration only are good for small-yield changes.
sensitivity of a portfolio of bonds when there is
a change in interest rates and the yield curve
experiences a nonparallel shift.
are not affected by yield changes. This may not