PPT Bond Portfolio Management Strategies Basics II PowerPoint presentation

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PPT Bond Portfolio Management Strategies Basics II PowerPoint presentation

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Bond Portfolio Management Strategies: Basics II

What are theoretical spot rates and forward rates and how do we compute them. However, price changes are not linear, but a curvilinear (convex) function. 15. PowerPoint PPT presentation

Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

  • What is the convexity for a bond, how do you

estimating a bonds price volatility?

Theoretical spot rates

  • We have seen that using STRIPS we can determine

the spot rate for a particular maturity.

  • However, the theoretical spot rates may be
  • slightly different from those observed in STRIPS

    because the stripped securities are not as liquid

    as the current Treasury issues.

    Theoretical spot rates

    • We can compute a set of theoretical spot rates

    through a process referred to as boot-strapping.

  • With this process, we assume that the value of a
  • of a package of zero coupon securities that

    duplicates the coupon bonds cash flows.

    Forward rates

    • Forward rates represent the markets expectation

    of future short-term rates.

  • For example, the yield on a 6-month Treasury bill

    six months from now would be a forward rate.

  • Given the current rate for the 6-month and 1-year
  • T-bills, we can extrapolate this forward rate.

    Interest Rate Sensitivity

    • Interest rate sensitivity is the amount of bond

    price change for a given change in yield.

  • This sensitivity is a function of
  • Coupon rate
  • Maturity
  • Direction and level of yield change.
  • Trading strategies based on interest rate

    sensitivity

    • If you expect a decline (increase) in interest

    rates, you want a portfolio of bonds with maximum

    (minimum) interest rate sensitivity.

  • Duration measures provide composite measures of

    interest rate sensitivity based on coupon and

    maturity.

  • Macaulay Duration Measure

    • The Macaulay Duration can be calculated as
    • Where
    • t time period in which the coupon or principal

    payment occurs

  • Ct interest or principal payment that occurs

    Characteristics of Macaulay Duration

    • Duration of a bond with coupons is always less

      than its term to maturity because duration gives

      weight to these interim payments

    • PPT Bond Portfolio Management Strategies Basics II PowerPoint presentation
    • A zero-coupon bonds duration equals its maturity
    • There is an inverse relationship between duration

      and coupon

    • There is a positive relationship between term to

      maturity and duration, but duration increases at

      a decreasing rate with maturity

    • There is an inverse relationship between YTM and

      duration

    • Determining interest rate sensitivity

      • An adjustment of Macaulay duration called

      modified duration can be used to approximate the

      bond price change to changes in yield.

    • Where
    • m number of payments a year
    • i yield to maturity (YTM)
    • Trading Strategies Using Modified Duration

      • Longest-duration security provides the maximum

      Bond Convexity

      • Modified duration is a linear approximation of

      bond price change for small changes in market

      yields

    • However, price changes are not linear, but a

      curvilinear (convex) function.

    • Determinants of Convexity

      • The convexity is the measure of the curvature and

      can be calculated as

      The change in price due to convexity is then

      Determinants of Convexity

      • There exists a(n)
      • Inverse relationship between coupon and convexity
      • Direct relationship between maturity and

      convexity

    • Inverse relationship between yield and convexity
    • Modified Duration-Convexity Effects

      • Changes in a bonds price resulting from a change

      in yield are due to

    • Bonds modified duration
    • Bonds convexity
    • Relative effect of these two factors depends on
    • the characteristics of the bond (its convexity)

      and the size of the yield change

    • Convexity is desirable
    • Limitations of Macaulay and Modified Duration

      • Percentage change estimates using modified

      duration only are good for small-yield changes.

    • It is difficult to determine the interest-rate

      sensitivity of a portfolio of bonds when there is

      a change in interest rates and the yield curve

      experiences a nonparallel shift.

    • Initial assumption that cash flows from the bond

      are not affected by yield changes. This may not


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