Mutual Fund Investment Styles

Post on: 16 Март, 2015 No Comment

What’s Your Investment Style?

The growth in the number of mutual funds is due, in part, to the variety of investment styles employed by money managers. Studies have shown that investment style can play an important role in fund returns; as a result, there is considerable debate within the investment community about the effectiveness of the various styles. The following is an overview of the dominant styles employed by today’s money managers.

Active vs. Passive

Active investors believe in their ability to outperform the overall market by picking stocks they believe may perform well. Passive investors, on the other hand, feel that simply investing in a market index fund may produce potentially higher long-term results. The majority of mutual funds underperformed market indexes during the five-year period ended December 31, 2012.* Passive investors believe this is due to market efficiency, the theory that holds that all information available about a company is reflected in that company’s current stock price, and it’s impossible to forecast and profit on future stock prices. Rather than trying to second-guess the market, passive investors can buy the entire market via index funds.

Active investors counter that managed funds don’t always underperform the general market. Many funds have earned significantly higher returns. Active investors believe that the market may not always be efficient and that through research, active fund managers may be able to uncover information not already reflected in a security’s price and potentially profit by it. For example, some active investors feel that the small-cap market is less efficient than the large-cap market since smaller companies are not followed as closely as larger blue-chip firms. A less efficient market could potentially favor active stock selection, they reason.

*Source: Standard & Poor’s, S&P Indices Versus Active Funds (SPIVA ® ) Scorecard, Year-End 2012. During the five-year period ended 12/31/2012, 75% of large-cap funds failed to outperform the S&P 500 Index, 90% of midcap funds underperformed the S&P MidCap 400 Index, and 83% of small-cap funds underperformed the S&P SmallCap 600 Index.

Growth vs. Value

Active investors can be divided into growth and value seekers. Proponents of growth seek companies they expect (on average) to increase earnings by 15% to 25%. Of course, there is no assurance that this objective will be obtained. Stocks in these companies tend to have high price to earnings ratios (P/E) since investors pay a premium for higher returns. They usually pay little or no dividends. The result is that growth stocks tend to be more volatile, and therefore more risky.

Value investors look for bargains — cheap stocks that are often out of favor, such as cyclical stocks that are at the low end of their business cycle. A value investor is primarily attracted by asset-oriented stocks with low prices compared with underlying book, replacement, or liquidation values. Value stocks also tend to have lower P/E ratios and potentially higher dividend yields. These potentially higher yields tend to cushion value stocks in down markets, while certain cyclical stocks will lead the market following a recession.

Other investors choose not to lock themselves into any one investment style. Returns on growth stocks and value stocks tend not to be highly correlated. This means that an increase or decrease in one type may have little effect on the other. By diversifying between growth and value, investors can help manage risk and may still have high long-term return potential.

Small Cap vs. Large Cap

Some investors use the size of a company as the basis for investing. Studies of stock returns going back to 1925 have suggested that smaller is better. On average, the highest returns have come from stocks with the lowest market capitalization (common shares outstanding times share price). But since these returns tend to run in cycles, there have been long periods when large-cap stocks have outperformed smaller stocks.

Small-cap stocks also have higher price volatility, which translates into higher risk. Some investors choose the middle ground and invest in mid-cap stocks with market capitalizations between $500 million and $8 billion — seeking a trade-off between volatility and return. In so doing, they give up the potential return of small-cap stocks.

Sources: Standard & Poor’s; Center for Research in Securities Pricing (CRSP). Large-cap stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the large-cap, U.S. stock market. Small-cap stocks are represented by a composite of the CRSP 6th-10th decile portfolios and the S&P SmallCap 600 Index, unmanaged indexes that are generally considered representative of the small-cap, U.S. stock market.

Bottom-Up vs. Top-Down

A top-down investor looks first at economic factors and then selects industries accordingly. For example, during periods of low inflation, consumer spending increases, which might be a good time to buy automobile stocks or retail stocks. The top-down investor would then search for the best values in these industries. A bottom-up investor is more concerned with individual companies’ fundamentals. They reason that even if its industry is doing poorly, a hot company will still outperform the market. Both of these styles emphasize fundamentals, but place different emphasis on the economic environment.

Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis

Another difference is that some equity investors look at the fundamentals of individual stocks, while others invest based on technical analysis. Fundamentalists, who represent the majority, spend time poring over annual reports and visiting companies attempting to uncover investment opportunities and seek greater return potential over the long run. Technical analysts pore over charts of stock prices and economic data in an attempt to divine patterns that could be indicative of future trends, and are more concerned with short-term market timing than individual stock picking.

Although technical analysts fell out of favor as studies questioned their forecasting powers, increased access to information and the growing power of computers have led to a resurgent interest.

Asset Allocation: Another Element Of Investing Style

Another popular investment strategy is asset allocation. Market timing purists move in or out of specific asset classes (stocks, bonds, and money markets 1 ), based on the forecasts of their technical models. A more conservative approach, dynamic asset allocation, uses risk/return trade-offs to determine which class of assets to favor. However, asset allocation does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.

If bonds are seen to be cheaper than stocks, then the allocation will favor bonds. Asset allocators continually adjust their portfolios based on market and economic conditions.

1 An investment in a money market fund is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although the fund seeks to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the fund.

When In Doubt, Consider Diversification

In order to manage volatility, many experts encourage diversifying based on investment style. Mutual fund investors need to ask questions, carefully read the fund prospectus, and consult fund rating services to make sure they are buying a style that is right for them. Figuring out which — and how many — of these styles are right for you can be challenging. Your financial professional can help you negotiate this maze and help you make choices that complement your overall strategy.

Points To Remember

There are several investment styles; each plays an important role in overall fund return potential.
Active vs. Passive: While active investors believe in their ability to outperform the market by actively selecting securities, passive investors believe in investing in a market index fund to seek long-term results.
Growth vs. Value: Proponents of growth-style seek companies with growth potential — typically with a high P/E ratio — while value-style investors look for cheap stocks at the low end of their business cycle.
The bottom-up approach believes in first finding good stocks and then looking at macro factors such as the economy and specific industries. Top-down adherents believe in first zeroing in on the industry and then selecting a stock within that industry.
Find out the fund manager’s style of investing before investing in a fund.

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